Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.001258 0.001302 0.001347 0.001395 0.001448 0.001502 0.001562
2025-08-10 0.001182 0.001246 0.001314 0.001390 0.001476 0.001568 0.001677
2025-08-17 0.001119 0.001196 0.001280 0.001378 0.001490 0.001616 0.001771
2025-08-24 0.001067 0.001153 0.001249 0.001363 0.001498 0.001654 0.001851
2025-08-31 0.001045 0.001141 0.001249 0.001383 0.001544 0.001737 0.001991
2025-09-07 0.001017 0.001121 0.001239 0.001387 0.001570 0.001796 0.002103
2025-09-14 0.000985 0.001092 0.001217 0.001375 0.001575 0.001826 0.002178
2025-09-21 0.000954 0.001063 0.001192 0.001358 0.001571 0.001844 0.002237
2025-09-28 0.000929 0.001041 0.001174 0.001348 0.001575 0.001871 0.002309
2025-10-05 0.000891 0.001002 0.001134 0.001307 0.001536 0.001838 0.002293
2025-10-12 0.000871 0.000983 0.001118 0.001298 0.001537 0.001859 0.002355
2025-10-19 0.000857 0.000972 0.001112 0.001298 0.001552 0.001899 0.002449
2025-10-26 0.000839 0.000955 0.001097 0.001289 0.001553 0.001921 0.002518
2025-11-02 0.000829 0.000948 0.001095 0.001297 0.001578 0.001979 0.002650
2025-11-09 0.000813 0.000934 0.001084 0.001291 0.001583 0.002007 0.002736
2025-11-16 0.000797 0.000918 0.001069 0.001280 0.001580 0.002023 0.002802
2025-11-23 0.000794 0.000918 0.001076 0.001298 0.001621 0.002109 0.003000
2025-11-30 0.000785 0.000911 0.001073 0.001302 0.001641 0.002162 0.003145
2025-12-07 0.000771 0.000897 0.001059 0.001292 0.001637 0.002177 0.003220
2025-12-14 0.000756 0.000881 0.001043 0.001277 0.001627 0.002179 0.003269
2025-12-21 0.000743 0.000869 0.001032 0.001268 0.001625 0.002196 0.003349
2025-12-28 0.000722 0.000844 0.001002 0.001232 0.001579 0.002136 0.003262
2026-01-04 0.000711 0.000833 0.000991 0.001223 0.001576 0.002149 0.003332